Hurricane
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Hurricane
  Disasters Live
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Hurricane Gustav-  5 Day Forecast Map

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Monday August 25 - At 200 PM EDT the center of Tropical Storm Gustav was  located about 225 miles or 365 km south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti.

Gustav is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph or 22  km/hr and a gradual decrease in forward speed is expected over the next day or two.  On the forecast track the center of Gustav will be moving near or over southwestern Haiti on Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph or 95 km/hr with higher gusts.  Some strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours and Gustav could strengthen into a hurricane prior to moving over land.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 50 miles or 85 km from the center.

The minimum central pressure reported by the Air Force reconnaissance plane is 996 mb 29.41 inches.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 5 to 7 inches over Hispaniola with isolated maximum amounts of 15 to 25 inches possible.  These intense rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Tuesday August 26 - At 800 am EDT the center of Hurricane Gustav was 75 miles or 125 km south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and about 265 miles or 425 km southeast of Guantanamo Cuba.

Gustav is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph or 15 km/hr and this direction is expected to continue today with a turn toward the west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed forecast on Wednesday.  On this track this hurricane should move over southwestern Haiti later today and near or just south of eastern Cuba on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph or 150 km/hr with higher gusts.  Gustav is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.  The hurricane could become a category two hurricane before landfall in Haiti later today.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles or 35 km from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70 miles or 110 km.

The latest minimum central pressure reported by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 981 mb or 28.97 inches.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 7 inches over southern Hispaniola and Jamaica with isolated maximum amounts of up to 15 inches possible.  These rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 4 feet above normal tide levels can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes landfall.

Watch vs Warning - Know the Difference

A HURRICANE WATCH issued for your part of the coast indicates the possibility that you could experience hurricane conditions within 36 hours. This watch should trigger your family's disaster plan, and protective measures should be initiated, especially those actions that require extra time such as securing a boat, leaving a barrier island, etc.

A HURRICANE WARNING issued for your part of the coast indicates that sustained winds of at least 74 mph are expected within 24 hours or less. Once this warning has been issued, your family should be in the process of completing protective actions and deciding the safest location to be during the storm.
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The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
CATEGORY
Category 5 =
Category 4 =
Category 3 =
Category 2 =
Category 1 =     
Tropical Storm =
Tropical Depression =
WIND SPEEDS
155 mph +
131 - 154 mph
111 - 130 mph
96 - 110 mph  
74 - 95mph    
39 - 73 mph
38 mph or less
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